Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARA
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ARA
2 - 1
MER
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
GIM
2 - 2
ARA
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ARA
1 - 3
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ALC
5 - 2
CDT
53%
21%
25%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
4 - 1
GUA
83%
11%
7%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VIL
2 - 0
CDT
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
3 - 1
DBN
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |