Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 2
ARA
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
YEB
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 1
MOB
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RMC
2 - 0
ARA
38%
23%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
MOB
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PNT
1 - 2
CDF
32%
25%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 0
CAM
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 3
YEB
44%
25%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MOB
0 - 1
CDF
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 3
RMC
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |