Reading United vs Virginia Legacy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 4
REA
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
REA
6 - 1
FRE
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 3
REA
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
WES
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 5
REA
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Virginia Legacy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
VIR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 3
WES
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 5
REA
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |