Reading vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
QPR
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SHW
1 - 1
REA
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
REA
3 - 1
STO
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 5
REA
32%
28%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
MID
0 - 4
SEV
33%
25%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FUL
1 - 0
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
48%
27%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
MUD
0 - 0
MID
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
MID
0 - 1
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |