Reading vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
BRE
1 - 0
REA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
REA
2 - 1
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
REA
3 - 0
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
HUR
0 - 3
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1993 |
REA
0 - 4
MAC
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
BAR
0 - 1
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 1
SOU
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1993 |
POR
6 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
SOU
0 - 2
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 2
HUL
41%
27%
32%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |