RCD Carabanchel vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
ARA
0 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
CAR
6 - 1
TOR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
SEG
4 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CAR
8 - 1
ALC
66%
19%
16%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
CAR
2 - 1
GDE
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
RAY
2 - 2
CDT
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
PUL
2 - 1
RAY
73%
15%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
RAY
2 - 1
UBC
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
TAL
1 - 0
RAY
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
AVI
1 - 1
RAY
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |