Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CDT
4 - 1
RAY
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
RAY
0 - 3
PUL
60%
21%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
UBC
0 - 1
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
RAY
4 - 0
TAL
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SEG
2 - 1
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
CAR
4 - 0
ARA
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 3
CAR
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
CAR
3 - 1
SEG
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ALC
3 - 0
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CDB
3 - 2
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |