Rayo Vallecano vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 2
RAY
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 3
GIM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 1
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
0 - 0
CDB
74%
16%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 2
RAY
30%
24%
47%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CDT
2 - 0
GDE
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ATB
1 - 4
CDT
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDT
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 0
GIM
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 1
CDT
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |