Rapide Oued Zem vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
16º
15º
36
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapide Oued Zem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ODC
0 - 0
ROZ
44%
28%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ROZ
0 - 1
CBG
50%
28%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 2
ROZ
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ROZ
1 - 1
RAC
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
ROZ
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ODC
5 - 0
USM
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
USM
2 - 1
KAC
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
STM
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
JSM
1 - 3
USM
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |