Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
AUS
1 - 1
RAP
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
GAL
3 - 1
RAP
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUS
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
RAP
1 - 0
GAL
53%
23%
25%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
RAP
4 - 0
LAS
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
STR
1 - 2
LIN
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
SSO
1 - 0
STR
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1975 |
LIN
2 - 1
STR
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
STR
3 - 1
SSO
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
STR
2 - 1
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |