Rapid Lienz vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 1
RAP
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 0
KMD
40%
24%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
RUD
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
WOL
0 - 0
RAP
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 1
STE
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
TRE
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 0
WOL
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
0 - 3
DRA
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
VEI
3 - 3
TRE
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPI
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |