Rapid Lienz vs Griffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SVV
4 - 2
RAP
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
RAP
4 - 1
VOL
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
RAP
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 2
DRA
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 1
TRE
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Griffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GRI
1 - 2
EAC
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BLE
3 - 2
GRI
70%
17%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GRI
1 - 1
SCL
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
WAC
0 - 0
GRI
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
GRI
5 - 2
WEL
55%
22%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |