Raith Rovers vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
QOS
3 - 1
RAI
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RAI
0 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 2
RAI
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 2
RAI
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 1
STM
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 1
HIB
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
STR
1 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUM
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |