Radomiak Radom vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
17º
14º
0
11º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
0 | 64 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 51 |
2º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
3º
|
4.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 50 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 50 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 50 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 48 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 48 |
8º
|
5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 47 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 45 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 42 |
13º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 42 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 41 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 41 |
17º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1.5% | 2% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 2% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 19.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radomiak Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 1
IKS
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 3
STA
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 1
OMO
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
1 - 1
PGM
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 0
LKS
43%
24%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
JAG
0 - 4
TER
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
JAG
0 - 1
ZAL
49%
23%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
WLO
7 - 1
JAG
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
JAG
2 - 0
GOR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
JAG
1 - 1
POG
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |