Racing Valverdeño vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
18º
17º
32
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Valverdeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 1
VAL
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 0
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
VIL
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 4
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 4
DBN
14%
22%
64%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
AZU
21%
22%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CDD
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 2
UDF
55%
21%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DBN
3 - 0
CDD
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
CDD
18%
21%
62%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |