Racing San Miguel vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+307%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
HON
3 - 1
RAC
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 1
ATL
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 0
SPO
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
RAC
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
RAC
3 - 0
SGU
34%
23%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 0
CAL
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 3
RAF
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DOL
2 - 1
RAF
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RAF
3 - 2
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BAH
5 - 1
RAF
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |