Racing San Miguel vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+278%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 0
RAC
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 3
BIG
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ATH
2 - 2
RAC
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 1
ALT
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 5
RAC
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 2
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DOL
2 - 2
RAF
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 1
PIN
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAH
0 - 3
RAF
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |