Racing Olavarría vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Olavarría
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TAL
3 - 0
RAO
75%
15%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAO
0 - 1
CDN
24%
28%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
RAO
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
RAO
0 - 1
SPB
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 1
RAO
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 0
ALV
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ALV
2 - 1
RSA
33%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ALV
2 - 0
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
ALV
51%
26%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |