Quick '20 vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
1º
43
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DOS
4 - 3
QUI
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
4 - 1
ASV
90%
7%
3%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WHC
0 - 2
QUI
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 0
ACH
93%
5%
2%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SVI
2 - 3
QUI
15%
16%
69%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GOA
1 - 1
ASV
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 0
GOA
18%
18%
64%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GOA
1 - 2
DZO
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VVH
2 - 4
GOA
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 3
SVZ
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |