QRM II vs Noisy-le-Sec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
AMI
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 0
QUE
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 3
OIS
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 2
CAE
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Noisy-le-Sec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 1
SAI
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOI
0 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
NOI
1 - 3
OIS
39%
27%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NOI
4 - 1
GRA
50%
25%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |