Querétaro vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
QRO
2 - 2
SNL
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
QRO
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 1
PUE
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
QRO
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
QRO
0 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 3
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |