Queensland Lions FC vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 4
QUE
18%
19%
63%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
QUE
4 - 0
IPS
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
CAP
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 1
QUE
15%
18%
68%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
QUE
5 - 0
WOL
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 5
LOG
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
LOG
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 2
WOL
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 1
TAR
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MIT
2 - 2
LOG
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |