Queen of the South vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
QOS
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HIB
4 - 0
QOS
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
QOS
2 - 0
ALL
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
QOS
1 - 4
DUN
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
RAI
1 - 0
QOS
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
DUM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 0
RAI
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 2
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STM
0 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 2
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |