Quart B vs Aro CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 3
QUA
55%
22%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
QUA
2 - 3
FAR
57%
19%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BLA
4 - 1
QUA
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
QUA
0 - 0
CAL
66%
17%
17%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
QUA
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aro CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 3
BLA
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 7
ARO
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 4
ARO
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 2
BAT
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
4 - 3
ARO
20%
20%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |