Quart B vs Albons A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
QUA
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 4
QUA
24%
19%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
QUA
2 - 0
MED
79%
12%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 2
QUA
23%
19%
58%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VER
0 - 3
QUA
20%
18%
62%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Albons A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
ISE
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALB
54%
22%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 3
PAT
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 4
ALB
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 0
PER
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |