Qingdao West Coast vs Shanghái Port analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
11º
10º
37
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 63 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 52 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 27% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao West Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
QYI
2 - 0
WFC
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
2 - 2
QYI
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
AJM
1 - 2
QYI
50%
22%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 1
QYI
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
URA
0 - 0
QYI
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
YFM
4 - 1
SHA
49%
23%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 1
YFM
48%
22%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 0
CHA
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 1
SJF
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 2
YFM
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |