Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
16º
25
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 63 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 52 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 35 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
QYI
1 - 0
QIN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 3
HAN
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
QIN
2 - 1
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
WFC
2 - 0
QIN
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SHE
0 - 0
QIN
41%
24%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
3 - 1
YUN
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BEI
2 - 1
YUN
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
YUN
2 - 1
HEN
46%
27%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SHU
1 - 2
YUN
5%
9%
86%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
QYI
0 - 0
YUN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |