Qarabağ vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
39
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
OLP
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
OLP
0 - 3
QAR
58%
22%
19%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
FKN
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
SEB
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
ZIR
18%
26%
56%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |