Qarabağ vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKQ
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 4
QAR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 0
QAR
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
QAR
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKQ
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 1
SEB
68%
20%
11%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
1 - 1
FKQ
17%
24%
58%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
5 - 0
ARA
59%
21%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |