Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
QAR
2 - 1
FCK
69%
21%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
FKN
0 - 2
QAR
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ZIR
0 - 0
QAR
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +6 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
QAR
1 - 0
AZA
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SUM
0 - 4
QAR
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SUM
2 - 0
FKN
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
FKN
0 - 2
QAR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FKN
2 - 1
SHA
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
FKN
1 - 0
FKQ
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FKN
1 - 2
ZIR
46%
29%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |