PVV vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
INT
1 - 0
PVV
78%
15%
8%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
VOO
1 - 1
PVV
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
PVV
4 - 1
SNL
62%
20%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NOT
1 - 1
PVV
51%
22%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
PVV
0 - 1
WBC
31%
22%
47%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 2
VOO
26%
21%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SFC
0 - 1
SNL
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RHO
5 - 1
SFC
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAP
5 - 3
SFC
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 1
NOT
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |