Purmersteijn vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HOO
4 - 3
PUR
32%
24%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 1
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DEB
0 - 3
PUR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PUR
1 - 3
SDO
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 0
PUR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
3 - 1
MSC
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SIL
5 - 1
ALC
62%
19%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
HOO
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DEB
5 - 1
ALC
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
AWC
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |