Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
PUM
0 - 0
AME
30%
24%
45%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 4
CAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
3 - 1
PUM
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PUM
3 - 3
AME
28%
25%
48%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
ATS
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 4
TIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |