Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 0
LOB
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LEO
3 - 0
PUM
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
JUA
1 - 1
PUM
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
PUM
4 - 1
LOB
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
ALE
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
QRO
0 - 2
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ZAC
3 - 4
TOL
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |