Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 0
MER
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
36%
30%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 0
QRO
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
PUM
32%
28%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 2
TOL
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |