Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
QRO
4 - 0
PUM
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TAU
0 - 0
PUM
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 1
PUM
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
TIJ
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
3 - 0
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |