Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
IND
2 - 0
PUM
27%
30%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
TOL
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |