Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 3
SNL
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TIG
2 - 0
PUM
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 1
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
ATS
2 - 2
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 2
TOL
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 2
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |