Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
STR
2 - 1
PUM
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
EST
3 - 1
PUM
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
PUM
1 - 0
ATS
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
PUM
3 - 1
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 1
JAG
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
EST
1 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
ATS
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |