Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 1
PUM
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 2
EST
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
VER
3 - 4
PUM
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 1
CAZ
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 2
TOL
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
5 - 0
SNL
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |