Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
PUM
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 0
QRO
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
0 - 3
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PUM
1 - 2
PAC
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
JAG
2 - 5
PUM
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 0
PUE
82%
11%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |