Pumas UNAM vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
PUM
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
PUM
0 - 1
ATS
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 0
TIJ
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TIJ
2 - 1
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIJ
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
TIJ
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 1
TIG
42%
28%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |