Liga MX Finals - Apertura Final
Global 4-4
Pumas UNAM vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 3
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
AME
0 - 3
PUM
57%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 0
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 1
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 1
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |