Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PUM
5 - 0
TIG
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SNL
0 - 1
PUM
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AME
2 - 0
PUM
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
4 - 1
ATP
44%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 1
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 2
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAC
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |