Pumas UNAM vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 0
PUM
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 1
TIJ
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JAG
4 - 0
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 0
ATL
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
PUM
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
TIJ
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |