Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
PUM
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
PUM
4 - 2
EME
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
PUM
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
4 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
5 - 2
CAF
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AME
3 - 3
CAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
CAZ
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 1
QRO
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |