Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 2
PUM
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
PUM
4 - 0
NTV
78%
14%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
PUM
4 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
0 - 2
PUM
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
JAG
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
27%
44%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
CAZ
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |