Penang FC vs Negeri Sembilan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
13º
10º
27
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
KUL
2 - 2
PUL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
KFA
2 - 1
PUL
33%
22%
45%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PUL
2 - 2
KFA
45%
22%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 1
SEL
19%
23%
59%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
MIS
2 - 0
PUL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Negeri Sembilan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NEG
1 - 1
PAH
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEG
2 - 2
SEL
26%
22%
52%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SEL
2 - 0
NEG
56%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
NEG
0 - 0
KED
48%
23%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
KED
1 - 2
NEG
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |