Puertollano vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CPC
2 - 2
PUE
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
BAL
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BET
1 - 0
PUE
45%
27%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 0
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
SRQ
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
LUC
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAD
4 - 0
LUC
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
SEV
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |