Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
QRO
1 - 0
PUE
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATL
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 1
PUE
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PUE
1 - 2
CAZ
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 3
UAT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 2
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOL
3 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
TOL
22%
25%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
JAG
0 - 4
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |